Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 39.868971 47.142102 55.141794 64.563129 75.323177 87.196168 101.254687
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 30.461081 40.435236 52.477879 67.951979 87.156914 110.048546 139.221657
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 24.860306 36.102119 50.677288 70.659724 97.000506 130.160383 174.626803
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.357886 31.979620 48.002050 71.204780 103.355095 145.665851 204.762126
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.300337 27.583805 44.059989 69.149737 105.515335 155.298786 227.359746
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.791369 24.953383 42.106253 69.399381 110.520892 168.731721 255.553781
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.985414 23.072466 40.926217 70.483315 116.578201 183.779944 286.662429
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.377922 19.373166 36.339294 65.689199 113.220757 184.760333 297.389058
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.401208 18.357197 35.971371 67.498775 120.053134 201.085051 331.365172
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.194484 16.691913 34.247345 66.808293 122.729423 211.109014 356.265538
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.860627 16.670889 35.421987 71.148637 133.891659 234.887245 403.392915
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.600958 14.521795 32.384054 67.696458 131.621193 237.091858 416.805912
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.077295 13.963680 32.516394 70.415283 140.873838 259.651300 465.754107
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.660179 13.586975 33.002880 73.942975 152.023040 286.366881 523.520625
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.234147 13.093829 33.167605 76.840260 162.235296 312.106668 581.088722
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.685361 12.161505 32.241276 77.424497 168.154876 330.765317 627.738684
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.034424 10.786144 30.097849 75.216966 168.516474 339.612142 658.052106
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.635390 10.004615 29.188568 75.485145 173.646105 357.185561 704.265103
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.339115 9.447099 28.723388 76.649489 180.609352 378.434877 757.923491
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.799454 7.950667 25.637051 71.498256 174.197554 374.435385 766.195012
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.633008 7.649751 25.611231 73.443080 182.716219 399.021367 827.408307
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.390936 7.000066 24.523354 72.701057 185.406029 412.525412 868.816482
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.351987 7.107308 25.585652 77.364074 200.203587 450.360305 957.167004